AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 3 Nov 30, 2025

São Paulo FC

Home
VS
18:00

Apafut

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
São Paulo FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Apafut Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.72 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
São Paulo FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Apafut Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
São Paulo FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 27 São Paulo… vs Fluminense 6-0
Nov 23 São Paulo… vs Juventude 2-1
Nov 23 São Paulo… vs Apafut 1-0
Nov 20 São Paulo… vs Corinthia… 3-1
Nov 16 São Paulo… vs São Gabri… 0-5
Nov 09 São Paulo… vs Campo Gra… 1-0
Nov 09 São Paulo… vs RB Bragan… 0-1
Nov 06 São Paulo… vs Flamengo 2-2
Nov 02 São Paulo… vs Vasco DA … 0-2
Oct 26 São Paulo… vs FBC Riogr… 0-1
Apafut Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Apafut vs São Paulo… 1-0
Nov 16 Apafut vs Nova Prata 5-2
Nov 09 Apafut vs Guaraní RS 4-2
Nov 05 Apafut vs EC Novo H… 3-0
Oct 26 Apafut vs Clube 1992 1-1
Oct 22 Apafut vs Clube 1992 4-1
Oct 12 Apafut vs EC Novo H… 0-0
Oct 05 Apafut vs Guaraní RS 1-2
Sep 28 Apafut vs Nova Prata 0-1
Oct 16 Apafut vs Guaraní RS 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Apafut in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • São Paulo FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2025 Apafut 1 - 0 São Paulo FC Gaúcho - 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: São Paulo FC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São Paulo FC Power 0
Apafut Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.