AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Feb 19, 2025

MC Oran

Home
VS
16:00

Mostaganem

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
MC Oran Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Mostaganem Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.02 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MC Oran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Mostaganem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
MC Oran Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 MC Oran vs Usm El Ha… 0-1
Feb 03 MC Oran vs CR Beloui… 1-2
Dec 26 MC Oran vs MC Alger 3-0
Nov 15 MC Oran vs Oued Akbou 3-1
Nov 07 MC Oran vs ES Sétif 1-0
Oct 04 MC Oran vs ASO Chlef 0-0
Sep 28 MC Oran vs Mostaganem 2-1
May 26 MC Oran vs Ben Aknoun 1-0
May 21 MC Oran vs MC Alger 1-0
May 17 MC Oran vs ES Sétif 4-1
Mostaganem Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Mostaganem vs CS Consta… 0-0
Nov 30 Mostaganem vs El Bayadh 1-1
Nov 23 Mostaganem vs JS Saoura 1-1
Nov 03 Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou 1-2
Oct 02 Mostaganem vs CS Consta… 0-0
Sep 28 Mostaganem vs MC Oran 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MC Oran struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 28, 2024 Mostaganem 2 - 1 MC Oran Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: MC Oran to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MC Oran Power 0
Mostaganem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

MC Oran Position

+7

Position Gap

15

Mostaganem Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.