La Liga · Apr 23, 2025 19:30
Alavés
PWR 32
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Alavés
PWR 32
1 - 0
FT
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (19%)
0-2 (14%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense63
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Alavés Form
DLWLL
STABLE
Real Sociedad Form
DLWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS34%
Under 2.567%
Alavés Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Real Socied… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Alavésvs
1.45
Real SociedadDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum37%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Alavés-6
Gap#8
Real Socied…
WR 42% 25 pts
WR 18% 31 pts
Alavés
6.0%
| Apr 20 | Alavés v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | Alavés v Real Ma… | 0-1 |
| Apr 05 | Alavés v Girona | 0-1 |
| Mar 29 | Alavés v Rayo Va… | 0-2 |
| Mar 29 | Alavés v Valencia | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | Alavés v Las Pal… | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Alavés v Villarr… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Alavés v Mallorca | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Alavés v Espanyol | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Alavés v Levante | 3-3 |
Real Sociedad
12.0%
| Apr 20 | Real So… v Villarr… | 2-2 |
| Apr 12 | Real So… v Mallorca | 0-2 |
| Apr 06 | Real So… v Las Pal… | 1-3 |
| Apr 01 | Real So… v Real Ma… | 4-4 |
| Mar 29 | Real So… v Vallado… | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Real So… v Valencia | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | Real So… v Manches… | 4-1 |
| Mar 09 | Real So… v Sevilla… | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | Real So… v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Real So… v FC Barc… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 28, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Alavés |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Alavés |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Alavés | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Alavés | 0-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Alavés | 0-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 02, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Alavés |
| Jan 02, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Alavés |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Real Sociedad | 1-0 | Alavés |
| Jan 02, 2022 | Alavés | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Alavés | 1-3 | Real Sociedad |
Key Factors
Alavés struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.