Predictions Match Details
La Liga · Jan 02, 2024 18:15

Real Sociedad
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Alavés
PWR 32
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Real Sociedad to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (36%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Attack27
Defense63
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Real Sociedad Form DDDWW
STABLE
Alavés Form LLLLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.59%
BTTS10%
Under 2.591%
Real Socied… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Alavés Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Real Sociedad
vs
0.20
Alavés
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings60%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Real Socied…
+1
Gap
#10
Alavés
WR 46% 28 pts WR 18% 25 pts
Real Sociedad 14.0%
Dec 21 Real So… v Cadiz 0-0
Dec 17 Real So… v Real Be… 0-0
Dec 12 Real So… v Inter 0-0
Dec 09 Real So… v Villarr… 0-3
Dec 09 Real So… v Villarr… 0-3
Dec 02 Real So… v Osasuna 1-1
Dec 02 Real So… v Osasuna 1-1
Nov 29 Real So… v RB Salz… 0-0
Nov 26 Real So… v Sevilla… 2-1
Nov 04 Real So… v FC Barc… 0-1
Alavés 2.0%
Dec 21 Alavés v Real Ma… 0-1
Dec 21 Alavés v Real Ma… 0-1
Dec 18 Alavés v Girona 3-0
Dec 09 Alavés v Las Pal… 0-1
Dec 03 Alavés v Mallorca 0-0
Nov 24 Alavés v Granada 3-1
Nov 12 Alavés v FC Barc… 2-1
Oct 29 Alavés v Atlétic… 2-1
Oct 22 Alavés v Villarr… 1-1
Oct 08 Alavés v Real Be… 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Mar 13, 2022 Real Sociedad 1-0 Alavés
Jan 02, 2022 Alavés 1-1 Real Sociedad
Jul 24, 2021 Alavés 1-3 Real Sociedad
Jul 24, 2021 Real Sociedad 3-1 Alavés
Feb 21, 2021 Real Sociedad 4-0 Alavés
Key Factors
Alavés struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.