AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Mar 13, 2022

Real Sociedad

Home
VS
17:30

Alavés

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Real Sociedad Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Alavés Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.38 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Alavés Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Real Sociedad Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 07 Real Soci… vs Sporting … 2-1
Feb 20 Real Soci… vs Athletic … 4-0
Jan 30 Real Soci… vs Las Palmas 0-0
Jan 23 Real Soci… vs Getafe 0-0
Jan 19 Real Soci… vs Atlético … 2-0
Jan 08 Real Soci… vs Celta de … 1-0
Jan 08 Real Soci… vs Levante 1-1
Jan 05 Real Soci… vs Levante 2-3
Jan 02 Real Soci… vs Alavés 1-1
Dec 18 Real Soci… vs Villarreal 1-3
Alavés Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Alavés vs Sevilla FC 0-0
Feb 19 Alavés vs Real Madr… 3-0
Jan 27 Alavés vs Osasuna 0-1
Jan 23 Alavés vs FC Barcel… 0-1
Jan 18 Alavés vs Real Betis 4-0
Jan 02 Alavés vs Real Soci… 1-1
Dec 21 Alavés vs Villarreal 5-2
Dec 18 Alavés vs Rayo Vall… 2-0
Nov 27 Alavés vs Celta de … 1-2
Nov 20 Alavés vs Sevilla FC 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AlavĂ©s struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 02, 2022 Alavés 1 - 1 Real Sociedad La Liga
Jul 24, 2021 Alavés 1 - 3 Real Sociedad Friendlies Clu…
Jul 24, 2021 Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Alavés Friendlies Clu…
Feb 21, 2021 Real Sociedad 4 - 0 Alavés La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Sociedad Power 35
Alavés Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Real Sociedad Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Alavés Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.