AI Match Insights

Bundesliga Oct 19, 2024

Bayern Munich

Home
VS
16:30

VfB Stuttgart

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Bayern Munich Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
VfB Stuttgart Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.88 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayern Munich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Bayern Munich Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Bayern Mu… vs Eintracht… 3-3
Sep 28 Bayern Mu… vs Bayer Lev… 1-1
Sep 21 Bayern Mu… vs Werder Br… 0-5
Sep 14 Bayern Mu… vs Holstein … 1-6
Sep 01 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 2-0
Sep 01 Bayern Mu… vs SC Freibu… 2-0
Aug 25 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-3
Aug 25 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-3
May 18 Bayern Mu… vs 1899 Hoff… 4-2
May 18 Bayern Mu… vs 1899 Hoff… 4-2
VfB Stuttgart Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
Oct 06 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
Sep 28 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-2
Sep 22 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 5-1
Sep 22 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 5-1
Sep 14 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 1-3
Sep 14 VfB Stutt… vs M'gladbach 1-3
Aug 31 VfB Stutt… vs Mainz 3-3
Aug 27 VfB Stutt… vs Preussen … 0-5
Aug 24 VfB Stutt… vs SC Freibu… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayern Munich in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 04, 2024 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 1 Bayern Munich Pro League
May 04, 2024 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 1 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Dec 17, 2023 Bayern Munich 3 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Dec 17, 2023 Bayern Munich 3 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Pro League
Mar 04, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 2 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2022 Bayern Munich 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
May 08, 2022 Bayern Munich 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 5 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Mar 20, 2021 Bayern Munich 4 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bayern Munich to win (87% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 87% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayern Munich Power 70
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Bayern Munich Position

+3

Position Gap

4

VfB Stuttgart Position

Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.