Bundesliga · Dec 17, 2023 18:30

Bayern Munich
PWR 70
3 - 0
FT

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Bayern Munich to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense100
Goals/G5.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Bayern Munich Form WLDWW
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart Form DDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS48%
Under 2.548%
Bayern Muni… Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Bayern Munich
vs
0.80
VfB Stuttgart
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Bayern Muni…
+3
Gap
#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 80% 51 pts WR 46% 39 pts
Bayern Munich 14.0%
Dec 12 Bayern … v Manches… 0-1
Dec 09 Bayern … v Eintrac… 5-1
Nov 29 Bayern … v FC Cope… 0-0
Nov 24 Bayern … v FC Koln 0-1
Nov 24 Bayern … v FC Koln 0-1
Nov 11 Bayern … v FC Heid… 4-2
Oct 21 Bayern … v FSV Mai… 1-3
Oct 08 Bayern … v SC Frei… 3-0
Sep 30 Bayern … v RB Leip… 2-2
Aug 27 Bayern … v FC Augs… 3-1
VfB Stuttgart 16.0%
Dec 10 VfB Stu… v Bayer L… 1-1
Dec 10 VfB Stu… v Bayer L… 1-1
Dec 06 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 2-0
Dec 02 VfB Stu… v Werder … 2-0
Dec 02 VfB Stu… v Werder … 2-0
Nov 25 VfB Stu… v Eintrac… 1-2
Nov 25 VfB Stu… v Eintrac… 1-2
Nov 11 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 2-1
Oct 31 VfB Stu… v Union B… 1-0
Oct 28 VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… 2-3
Head-to-Head (5)
Mar 04, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Bayern Munich
Sep 10, 2022 Bayern Munich 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
May 08, 2022 Bayern Munich 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
Dec 14, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 0-5 Bayern Munich
Mar 20, 2021 Bayern Munich 4-0 VfB Stuttgart
Key Factors
Bayern Munich in strong form (3W in last 5)
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.