J1 League · Apr 07, 2024 05:00

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Shonan Bellmare
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sanfrecce Hiro… Form WWWLW
UP
Shonan Bellmare Form LWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS13%
Under 2.581%
Sanfrecce H… Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Shonan Bell… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Sanfrecce Hiro…
vs
0.20
Shonan Bellmare
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Sanfrecce H…
+15
Gap
#19
Shonan Bell…
WR 53% 68 pts WR 16% 32 pts
Sanfrecce Hiro… 16.0%
Feb 23 Sanfrec… v Urawa 2-0
Dec 03 Sanfrec… v Avispa … 0-1
Nov 25 Sanfrec… v Gamba O… 3-0
Aug 05 Sanfrec… v Shonan … 1-0
May 27 Sanfrec… v Shonan … 1-0
Jul 10 Sanfrec… v Shonan … 1-1
Apr 02 Sanfrec… v Shonan … 0-1
Nov 07 Sanfrec… v Shonan … 0-0
Shonan Bellmare 10.0%
Dec 03 Shonan … v FC Tokyo 0-1
Nov 25 Shonan … v Yokoham… 0-1
Aug 05 Shonan … v Sanfrec… 1-0
May 27 Shonan … v Sanfrec… 1-0
Jul 10 Shonan … v Sanfrec… 1-1
Apr 02 Shonan … v Sanfrec… 0-1
Nov 07 Shonan … v Sanfrec… 0-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Aug 05, 2023 Shonan Bellma… 1-0 Sanfrecce Hir…
May 27, 2023 Sanfrecce Hir… 1-0 Shonan Bellma…
Jul 10, 2022 Sanfrecce Hir… 1-1 Shonan Bellma…
Apr 02, 2022 Shonan Bellma… 0-1 Sanfrecce Hir…
Nov 07, 2021 Shonan Bellma… 0-0 Sanfrecce Hir…
Key Factors
Sanfrecce Hiroshima in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.