FAW Championship · Feb 06, 2026 19:45
Trethomas Bluebirds
PWR 43
PWR 43
2-1
predicted
Newport City
PWR 51
PWR 51
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Trethomas Bluebirds to win (75% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
75%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense43
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
Attack47
Defense64
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Trethomas Blue… Form
WLLLW
STABLE
Newport City Form
LLDDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS55%
Under 2.537%
Trethomas B… Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Newport City Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Trethomas Blue…vs
0.91
Newport CityDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#22
Trethomas B…-2
Gap#20
Newport City
WR 33% 48 pts
WR 41% 50 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Blueb… | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 59 | 48 |
| Newport City | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 50 |
Trethomas Blue…
8.0%
| Jan 30 | Trethom… v Cwmbran… | 2-0 |
| Jan 23 | Trethom… v Caerau … | 1-5 |
| Jan 09 | Trethom… v Trefelin | 3-1 |
| Dec 26 | Trethom… v Treowen… | 2-0 |
| Dec 20 | Trethom… v Baglan … | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Trethom… v Llantwi… | 2-2 |
| Nov 28 | Trethom… v Pontypr… | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Trethom… v Carmart… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Trethom… v Aberyst… | 2-3 |
| Oct 25 | Trethom… v Cardiff… | 3-0 |
Newport City
8.0%
| Jan 31 | Newport… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Newport… v Cambria… | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | Newport… v Caerau … | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Newport… v Cwmbran… | 2-2 |
| Dec 10 | Newport… v Cardiff… | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Newport… v Pontypr… | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | Newport… v Treowen… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Newport… v Llantwi… | 2-2 |
| Nov 01 | Newport… v Ammanfo… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Newport… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 10, 2025 | Newport City | 1-1 | Trethomas Blu… |
| Jan 03, 2025 | Newport City | 1-2 | Trethomas Blu… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Trethomas Blu… | 2-1 | Newport City |
Key Factors
Trethomas Bluebirds struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.