AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Dec 06, 2025

Swindon

Home
VS
15:00

Bolton

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Swindon Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Bolton Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.50 - 1.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 2.0
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Swindon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Swindon Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 Swindon vs Peterboro… 1-0
Nov 11 Swindon vs Milton Ke… 0-4
Nov 01 Swindon vs Rotherham… 1-2
Oct 28 Swindon vs West Ham … 2-3
Oct 04 Swindon vs Newport C… 0-1
Sep 27 Swindon vs Burnley 2-0
Sep 20 Swindon vs Watford 3-2
Sep 13 Swindon vs Harrogate 3-1
Sep 06 Swindon vs Barrow 1-3
Sep 02 Swindon vs Reading FC 3-2
Bolton Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 Bolton vs Exeter Ci… 4-0
Dec 02 Bolton vs Brentford 3-0
Nov 29 Bolton vs Luton 1-1
Nov 22 Bolton vs Bradford 0-0
Nov 11 Bolton vs Oldham 2-6
Nov 08 Bolton vs Port Vale 4-0
Nov 01 Bolton vs Huddersfi… 2-1
Oct 31 Bolton vs Forest Gr… 4-3
Oct 28 Bolton vs Brighton … 3-1
Oct 25 Bolton vs Cardiff 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Swindon in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bolton to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Swindon Power 0
Bolton Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.