AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Aug 20, 2025

Beijing Guoan

Home
VS
11:35

Yunnan Yukun

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Beijing Guoan Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Yunnan Yukun Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.80 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.9
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Beijing Guoan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Yunnan Yukun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Beijing Guoan Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Beijing G… vs Qingdao Y… 1-3
Aug 10 Beijing G… vs Zhejiang … 3-4
Aug 03 Beijing G… vs Tianjin T… 2-2
Jul 26 Beijing G… vs Chengdu R… 2-0
Jul 22 Beijing G… vs Qingdao Y… 2-2
Jul 19 Beijing G… vs Shanghai … 1-3
Jun 30 Beijing G… vs Yunnan Yu… 2-1
Jun 25 Beijing G… vs Meizhou K… 0-4
Jun 21 Beijing G… vs Dalian Zh… 2-2
Jun 17 Beijing G… vs Qingdao Y… 1-0
Yunnan Yukun Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Yunnan Yu… vs Wuhan Thr… 2-1
Aug 09 Yunnan Yu… vs Qingdao J… 5-1
Aug 02 Yunnan Yu… vs Shanghai … 4-4
Jul 26 Yunnan Yu… vs Sichuan J… 3-1
Jul 22 Yunnan Yu… vs Guangzhou… 3-0
Jul 18 Yunnan Yu… vs Zhejiang … 3-1
Jun 30 Yunnan Yu… vs Beijing G… 2-1
Jun 26 Yunnan Yu… vs Henan FC 2-1
Jun 21 Yunnan Yu… vs Shaanxi U… 1-2
Jun 14 Yunnan Yu… vs Qingdao Y… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Yunnan Yukun in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 30, 2025 Beijing Guoan 2 - 1 Yunnan Yukun Super League
Feb 22, 2025 Yunnan Yukun 0 - 2 Beijing Guoan Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Beijing Guoan to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Beijing Guoan Power 0
Yunnan Yukun Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.