Serie A · Aug 04, 2024 19:00
Fluminense
PWR 35
Bahia
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Bahia
PWR 35
23% H
29% D
48% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
2-0 (15%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fluminense Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Bahia Form
DWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS38%
Under 2.555%
Fluminense Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Bahia Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Fluminensevs
0.59
BahiaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Fluminense+1
Gap#7
Bahia
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 100% 4 pts
Fluminense
0.0%
| Aug 01 | Flumineā¦ v Juventuā¦ | 3-2 |
| Jun 30 | Flumineā¦ v Remo | 1-0 |
| Jun 23 | Flumineā¦ v Flamengo | 0-1 |
| Jun 20 | Flumineā¦ v Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
| Jun 11 | Flumineā¦ v Botafogo | 1-0 |
| May 22 | Flumineā¦ v Sampaioā¦ | 2-0 |
| May 13 | Flumineā¦ v SĆ£o Pauā¦ | 2-1 |
| May 01 | Flumineā¦ v Sampaioā¦ | 0-2 |
| Apr 20 | Flumineā¦ v Vasco Dā¦ | 2-1 |
| Apr 17 | Flumineā¦ v Bahia | 2-1 |
Bahia
16.0%
| Jul 31 | Bahia v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Jul 04 | Bahia v Juventuā¦ | 2-0 |
| Jun 14 | Bahia v Fortaleā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jun 02 | Bahia v Atleticā¦ | 1-1 |
| May 23 | Bahia v CriciĆŗma | 0-2 |
| Apr 21 | Bahia v Vitoria | 2-2 |
| Apr 17 | Bahia v Flumineā¦ | 2-1 |
| Apr 07 | Bahia v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| Mar 31 | Bahia v Vitoria | 3-2 |
| Mar 21 | Bahia v Vitoria | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Apr 17, 2024 | Bahia | 2-1 | Fluminense |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Bahia | 1-0 | Fluminense |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Bahia |
| Dec 05, 2021 | Bahia | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| Aug 30, 2021 | Fluminense | 2-0 | Bahia |
| Feb 04, 2021 | Bahia | 0-1 | Fluminense |
Key Factors
Bahia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Fluminense struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.