Serie A · Jun 24, 2023 21:30
Fluminense
PWR 35
Bahia
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Bahia
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (17%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fluminense Form
LDLWL
STABLE
Bahia Form
DLLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS16%
Under 2.556%
Fluminense Goals
0
10%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Bahia Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Fluminensevs
0.20
BahiaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Fluminense+1
Gap#7
Bahia
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 100% 4 pts
Fluminense
6.0%
| May 20 | Flumineā¦ v Botafogo | 1-0 |
| May 07 | Flumineā¦ v Vasco Dā¦ | 1-1 |
| Apr 29 | Flumineā¦ v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Apr 01 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 1-0 |
| Mar 18 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 0-0 |
| Mar 05 | Flumineā¦ v Monte Aā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Flumineā¦ v TaubatĆ© | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Flumineā¦ v Vasco Dā¦ | 2-0 |
| Jan 29 | Flumineā¦ v Botafogo | 0-1 |
Bahia
10.0%
| Jun 03 | Bahia v Fortaleā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Bahia v Sport Rā¦ | 6-0 |
| Feb 15 | Bahia v Fortaleā¦ | 0-3 |
| Feb 09 | Bahia v Bahia dā¦ | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | Bahia v Barceloā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jan 10 | Bahia v Juazeirā¦ | 3-1 |
| Sep 12 | Bahia v Sport Rā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jun 09 | Bahia v Sport Rā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 05 | Bahia v Sport Rā¦ | 2-3 |
| Feb 27 | Bahia v Juazeirā¦ | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 05, 2021 | Bahia | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| Aug 30, 2021 | Fluminense | 2-0 | Bahia |
| Feb 04, 2021 | Bahia | 0-1 | Fluminense |
Key Factors
Fluminense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.