Serie A · Nov 24, 2024 19:45

Lazio
PWR 36
3 - 0
FT

Bologna
PWR 36
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Lazio Form WWWWW
UP
Bologna Form WWWDD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS59%
Under 2.532%
Lazio Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Bologna Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.30
Lazio
vs
0.95
Bologna
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Lazio
+2
Gap
#10
Bologna
WR 42% 32 pts WR 33% 30 pts
Lazio 20.0%
Nov 10 Lazio v Monza 0-1
Nov 04 Lazio v Cagliari 2-1
Nov 04 Lazio v Cagliari 2-1
Oct 31 Lazio v Como 1-5
Oct 31 Lazio v Como 1-5
Oct 27 Lazio v Genoa 3-0
Oct 27 Lazio v Genoa 3-0
Oct 19 Lazio v Juventus 1-0
Oct 19 Lazio v Juventus 1-0
Oct 06 Lazio v Empoli 2-1
Bologna 16.0%
Nov 10 Bologna v AS Roma 2-3
Nov 02 Bologna v Lecce 1-0
Oct 29 Bologna v Cagliari 0-2
Oct 19 Bologna v Genoa 2-2
Oct 19 Bologna v Genoa 2-2
Oct 06 Bologna v Parma 0-0
Oct 06 Bologna v Parma 0-0
Sep 28 Bologna v Atalanta 1-1
Sep 28 Bologna v Atalanta 1-1
Sep 22 Bologna v Monza 1-2
Head-to-Head (9)
Feb 18, 2024 Lazio 1-2 Bologna
Feb 18, 2024 Lazio 1-2 Bologna
Nov 03, 2023 Bologna 1-0 Lazio
Mar 11, 2023 Bologna 0-0 Lazio
Jan 19, 2023 Lazio 1-0 Bologna
Aug 14, 2022 Lazio 2-1 Bologna
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3-0 Bologna
Oct 03, 2021 Bologna 3-0 Lazio
Feb 27, 2021 Bologna 2-0 Lazio
Key Factors
Lazio in strong form (5W in last 5)
Bologna in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.