Serie A · Feb 18, 2024 11:30
Lazio
PWR 36
Bologna
PWR 36
Lazio
PWR 36
1 - 2
FT
Bologna
PWR 36
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (23%)
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Lazio Form
WWWLD
UP
Bologna Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS13%
Under 2.581%
Lazio Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Bologna Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Laziovs
0.20
BolognaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Lazio+2
Gap#10
Bologna
WR 42% 32 pts
WR 33% 30 pts
Lazio
14.0%
| Feb 14 | Lazio v Bayern … | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Lazio v Cagliari | 1-3 |
| Feb 10 | Lazio v Cagliari | 1-3 |
| Feb 04 | Lazio v Atalanta | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | Lazio v Napoli | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Lazio v Napoli | 0-0 |
| Jan 19 | Lazio v Inter | 3-0 |
| Jan 14 | Lazio v Lecce | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Lazio v Lecce | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Lazio v AS Roma | 1-0 |
Bologna
20.0%
| Feb 14 | Bologna v Fiorent… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Bologna v Fiorent… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | Bologna v Lecce | 4-0 |
| Feb 03 | Bologna v Sassuolo | 4-2 |
| Feb 03 | Bologna v Sassuolo | 4-2 |
| Jan 27 | Bologna v AC Milan | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | Bologna v AC Milan | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Bologna v Cagliari | 2-1 |
| Jan 09 | Bologna v Fiorent… | 0-0 |
| Jan 05 | Bologna v Genoa | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Nov 03, 2023 | Bologna | 1-0 | Lazio |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bologna | 0-0 | Lazio |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Lazio | 1-0 | Bologna |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Lazio | 2-1 | Bologna |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Lazio | 3-0 | Bologna |
| Oct 03, 2021 | Bologna | 3-0 | Lazio |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Bologna | 2-0 | Lazio |
Key Factors
Lazio in strong form (3W in last 5)
Bologna in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.