Serie A · Nov 03, 2023 19:45

Bologna
PWR 36
1 - 0
FT

Lazio
PWR 36
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 8%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
Bologna Form WDDDD
STABLE
Lazio Form WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS36%
Under 2.565%
Bologna Goals
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Lazio Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Bologna
vs
0.62
Lazio
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Bologna
-2
Gap
#8
Lazio
WR 33% 30 pts WR 25% 33 pts
Bologna 12.0%
Oct 31 Bologna v Verona 2-0
Oct 28 Bologna v Sassuolo 1-1
Oct 07 Bologna v Inter 2-2
Sep 24 Bologna v Napoli 0-0
Sep 18 Bologna v Verona 0-0
Aug 27 Bologna v Juventus 1-1
Aug 21 Bologna v AC Milan 0-2
May 28 Bologna v Napoli 2-2
May 08 Bologna v Sassuolo 1-1
Apr 30 Bologna v Juventus 1-1
Lazio 8.0%
Oct 30 Lazio v Fiorent… 1-0
Sep 30 Lazio v AC Milan 2-0
Sep 16 Lazio v Juventus 3-1
Sep 02 Lazio v Napoli 1-2
Aug 27 Lazio v Genoa 0-1
Aug 20 Lazio v Lecce 2-1
May 28 Lazio v Cremone… 3-2
May 21 Lazio v Udinese 0-1
May 12 Lazio v Lecce 2-2
May 06 Lazio v AC Milan 2-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Mar 11, 2023 Bologna 0-0 Lazio
Jan 19, 2023 Lazio 1-0 Bologna
Aug 14, 2022 Lazio 2-1 Bologna
Feb 12, 2022 Lazio 3-0 Bologna
Oct 03, 2021 Bologna 3-0 Lazio
Feb 27, 2021 Bologna 2-0 Lazio
Key Factors
Lazio struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.