Serie A · Mar 11, 2023 19:45
Bologna
PWR 36
Lazio
PWR 36
Bologna
PWR 36
0 - 0
FT
Lazio
PWR 36
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
2-0 (15%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack31
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.9
Bologna Form
WWLWL
STABLE
Lazio Form
WDLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS37%
Under 2.558%
Bologna Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Lazio Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Bolognavs
0.57
LazioDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Bologna-2
Gap#8
Lazio
WR 36% 30 pts
WR 27% 32 pts
Bologna
12.0%
| Feb 26 | Bologna v Inter | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Bologna v Fiorent… | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Bologna v Lazio | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | Bologna v Udinese | 1-2 |
| Jan 09 | Bologna v Atalanta | 1-2 |
| Dec 22 | Bologna v Verona | 0-1 |
| Nov 12 | Bologna v Sassuolo | 3-0 |
| Nov 09 | Bologna v Inter | 6-1 |
| Oct 16 | Bologna v Napoli | 3-2 |
| Oct 02 | Bologna v Juventus | 3-0 |
Lazio
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Lazio v Napoli | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Lazio v Verona | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Lazio v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lazio v Fiorent… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Lazio v AC Milan | 4-0 |
| Jan 19 | Lazio v Bologna | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Lazio v Lecce | 2-1 |
| Nov 13 | Lazio v Juventus | 3-0 |
| Oct 16 | Lazio v Udinese | 0-0 |
| Oct 10 | Lazio v Fiorent… | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jan 19, 2023 | Lazio | 1-0 | Bologna |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Lazio | 2-1 | Bologna |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Lazio | 3-0 | Bologna |
| Oct 03, 2021 | Bologna | 3-0 | Lazio |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Bologna | 2-0 | Lazio |
Key Factors
Bologna in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.