AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Feb 25, 2023

Nijmegen

Home
VS
20:00

FC Volendam

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Nijmegen Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
FC Volendam Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.67 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nijmegen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
FC Volendam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Nijmegen Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Nijmegen vs Sparta Ro… 1-1
Oct 16 Nijmegen vs Sparta Ro… 2-0
Sep 16 Nijmegen vs Utrecht 0-0
Sep 01 Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar 1-1
Aug 14 Nijmegen vs FC Volend… 1-4
Apr 29 Nijmegen vs Utrecht 1-0
Mar 19 Nijmegen vs Sparta Ro… 0-0
Mar 06 Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar 1-3
Feb 05 Nijmegen vs Zwolle 1-1
Nov 20 Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar 1-1
FC Volendam Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 FC Volend… vs FC Twente 3-0
Feb 04 FC Volend… vs AZ Alkmaar 1-1
Jan 29 FC Volend… vs Groningen 3-2
Jan 26 FC Volend… vs Ajax 1-1
Dec 07 FC Volend… vs Ajax 5-4
Nov 12 FC Volend… vs Utrecht 0-4
Oct 30 FC Volend… vs AZ Alkmaar 2-1
Oct 08 FC Volend… vs Ajax 2-4
Sep 09 FC Volend… vs GO Ahead … 2-3
Sep 03 FC Volend… vs Sparta Ro… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 14, 2022 FC Volendam 1 - 4 Nijmegen Eredivisie
Mar 15, 2021 Nijmegen 1 - 0 FC Volendam Eerste Divisie
Sep 15, 2020 FC Volendam 1 - 3 Nijmegen Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nijmegen Power 0
FC Volendam Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.