Shield Cup · May 25, 2025 13:00
Gor Mahia
PWR 63
Murang'a SEAL
PWR 53
Gor Mahia
PWR 63
2 - 2
FT
Murang'a SEAL
PWR 53
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Gor Mahia to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 10% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 10%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack56
Defense72
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack53
Defense56
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.3
Gor Mahia Form
DWWWD
STABLE
Murang'a SEAL Form
DWWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS18%
Under 2.545%
Gor Mahia Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Murang'a SE… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Gor Mahiavs
0.20
Murang'a SEALDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Gor Mahia+3
Gap#5
Murang'a SE…
WR 60% 10 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| Murang'a SEAL | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
Gor Mahia
16.0%
| May 18 | Gor Mah… v Murang'… | 0-0 |
| May 04 | Gor Mah… v Shabana | 0-1 |
| May 01 | Gor Mah… v Karioba… | 0-2 |
| Apr 27 | Gor Mah… v Mara Su… | 4-0 |
| Apr 19 | Gor Mah… v Sofapaka | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Gor Mah… v Bandari | 0-2 |
| Mar 30 | Gor Mah… v AFC Leo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Gor Mah… v Bandari | 2-0 |
| Mar 05 | Gor Mah… v Karioba… | 1-3 |
| Feb 20 | Gor Mah… v Bidco U… | 0-0 |
Murang'a SEAL
12.0%
| May 18 | Murang'… v Gor Mah… | 0-0 |
| May 14 | Murang'… v Sofapaka | 2-0 |
| May 01 | Murang'… v Ulinzi … | 3-2 |
| Apr 06 | Murang'… v Bidco U… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Murang'… v Police | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Murang'… v Mathare… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Murang'… v Homeboyz | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Murang'… v Ulinzi … | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Murang'… v AFC Leo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Murang'… v Police | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 18, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL | 0-0 | Gor Mahia |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Gor Mahia | 2-2 | Murang'a SEAL |
| May 04, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL | 1-3 | Gor Mahia |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Gor Mahia | 0-0 | Murang'a SEAL |
Key Factors
Gor Mahia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.