AI Match Insights

FKF Premier League Nov 11, 2023

Gor Mahia

Home
VS
13:00

Murang'a SEAL

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Gor Mahia Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Murang'a SEAL Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 1.18
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gor Mahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Gor Mahia Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Gor Mahia vs Shabana 0-1
Oct 28 Gor Mahia vs Bidco Uni… 0-0
Oct 22 Gor Mahia vs Tusker 0-1
Oct 07 Gor Mahia vs AFC Leopa… 0-2
Sep 24 Gor Mahia vs Homeboyz 1-1
Aug 26 Gor Mahia vs Sofapaka 1-1
Jun 21 Gor Mahia vs Homeboyz 2-3
May 28 Gor Mahia vs Tusker 0-0
May 14 Gor Mahia vs AFC Leopa… 1-2
Apr 12 Gor Mahia vs Bandari 1-2
Murang'a SEAL Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Murang'a … vs Bidco Uni… 0-0
May 28 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 0-0
Apr 02 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 0-1
Feb 04 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 3-0
Sep 18 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 3-1
Jul 24 Murang'a … vs APS Bomet 1-1
Jun 13 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 3-1
Mar 06 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 1-2
Feb 05 Murang'a … vs APS Bomet 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gor Mahia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gor Mahia to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gor Mahia Power 0
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Gor Mahia Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Murang'a SEAL Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.