Predictions Match Details
Challenge League · Nov 04, 2022 19:15

FC Aarau
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT

Yverdon Sport
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 0-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Aarau Form DWLDL
STABLE
Yverdon Sport Form LDLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS62%
Under 2.540%
FC Aarau Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Yverdon Spo… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
FC Aarau
vs
1.86
Yverdon Sport
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FC Aarau
+1
Gap
#3
Yverdon Spo…
WR 80% 48 pts WR 40% 36 pts
FC Aarau 8.0%
Sep 30 FC Aarau v Yverdon… 2-2
Sep 24 FC Aarau v Luzern … 3-1
Sep 17 FC Aarau v St. Gal… 3-2
Aug 20 FC Aarau v Basel W… 0-0
May 28 FC Aarau v St. Gal… 2-1
May 21 FC Aarau v St. Gal… 0-3
May 06 FC Aarau v Yverdon… 0-4
Apr 16 FC Aarau v Young B… 2-3
Mar 26 FC Aarau v Basel W… 0-3
Mar 19 FC Aarau v Yverdon… 0-2
Yverdon Sport 10.0%
Oct 08 Yverdon… v FC WIL … 4-0
Sep 30 Yverdon… v FC Aarau 2-2
Aug 12 Yverdon… v FC WIL … 1-3
Aug 05 Yverdon… v Neuchât… 2-3
Jul 15 Yverdon… v Stade L… 2-1
May 10 Yverdon… v Neuchât… 1-1
May 06 Yverdon… v FC Aarau 0-4
Apr 30 Yverdon… v FC WIL … 2-2
Mar 19 Yverdon… v FC Aarau 0-2
Mar 04 Yverdon… v FC WIL … 2-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Sep 30, 2022 Yverdon Sport 2-2 FC Aarau
May 06, 2022 Yverdon Sport 0-4 FC Aarau
Mar 19, 2022 FC Aarau 0-2 Yverdon Sport
Nov 06, 2021 FC Aarau 1-0 Yverdon Sport
Sep 10, 2021 Yverdon Sport 1-1 FC Aarau
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.