Challenge League · Sep 30, 2022 17:30

Yverdon Sport
PWR 35

FC Aarau
PWR 35

Yverdon Sport
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

FC Aarau
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Yverdon Sport to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1-3 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
2-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 10% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 10%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Yverdon Sport Form
LWWDL
STABLE
FC Aarau Form
WLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS74%
Under 2.527%
Yverdon Spo… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
FC Aarau Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Yverdon Sportvs
2.30
FC AarauDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Yverdon Spo…-1
Gap#2
FC Aarau
WR 70% 39 pts
WR 80% 49 pts
Yverdon Sport
10.0%
| Aug 12 | Yverdon… v FC WIL … | 1-3 |
| Aug 05 | Yverdon… v Neuchât… | 2-3 |
| Jul 15 | Yverdon… v Stade L… | 2-1 |
| May 10 | Yverdon… v Neuchât… | 1-1 |
| May 06 | Yverdon… v FC Aarau | 0-4 |
| Apr 30 | Yverdon… v FC WIL … | 2-2 |
| Mar 19 | Yverdon… v FC Aarau | 0-2 |
| Mar 04 | Yverdon… v FC WIL … | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Yverdon… v Neuchât… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Yverdon… v Neuchât… | 2-1 |
FC Aarau
6.0%
| Sep 24 | FC Aarau v Luzern … | 3-1 |
| Sep 17 | FC Aarau v St. Gal… | 3-2 |
| Aug 20 | FC Aarau v Basel W… | 0-0 |
| May 28 | FC Aarau v St. Gal… | 2-1 |
| May 21 | FC Aarau v St. Gal… | 0-3 |
| May 06 | FC Aarau v Yverdon… | 0-4 |
| Apr 16 | FC Aarau v Young B… | 2-3 |
| Mar 26 | FC Aarau v Basel W… | 0-3 |
| Mar 19 | FC Aarau v Yverdon… | 0-2 |
| Feb 12 | FC Aarau v Luzern … | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 06, 2022 | Yverdon Sport | 0-4 | FC Aarau |
| Mar 19, 2022 | FC Aarau | 0-2 | Yverdon Sport |
| Nov 06, 2021 | FC Aarau | 1-0 | Yverdon Sport |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Yverdon Sport | 1-1 | FC Aarau |
Key Factors
FC Aarau struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.