Challenge League · Mar 19, 2022 17:00

FC Aarau
PWR 35

Yverdon Sport
PWR 35

FC Aarau
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT

Yverdon Sport
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (14%)
1-0 (12%)
2-1 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Aarau Form
LLWDD
DOWN
Yverdon Sport Form
DDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS33%
Under 2.545%
FC Aarau Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Yverdon Spo… Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
FC Aarauvs
0.44
Yverdon SportDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FC Aarau+1
Gap#3
Yverdon Spo…
WR 80% 48 pts
WR 40% 36 pts
FC Aarau
8.0%
| Feb 12 | FC Aarau v Luzern … | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | FC Aarau v St. Gal… | 1-3 |
| Nov 06 | FC Aarau v Yverdon… | 1-0 |
| Sep 10 | FC Aarau v Yverdon… | 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | FC Aarau v Luzern … | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | FC Aarau v FC Sion | 4-2 |
Yverdon Sport
8.0%
| Mar 04 | Yverdon… v FC WIL … | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Yverdon… v Neuchât… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Yverdon… v Neuchât… | 2-1 |
| Nov 06 | Yverdon… v FC Aarau | 1-0 |
| Oct 16 | Yverdon… v FC WIL … | 3-0 |
| Sep 17 | Yverdon… v FC WIL … | 3-0 |
| Sep 10 | Yverdon… v FC Aarau | 1-1 |
| Aug 21 | Yverdon… v Neuchât… | 1-1 |
| Aug 07 | Yverdon… v FC WIL … | 3-0 |
| May 01 | Yverdon… v Rappers… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 06, 2021 | FC Aarau | 1-0 | Yverdon Sport |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Yverdon Sport | 1-1 | FC Aarau |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.