Challenge League · Mar 19, 2022 17:00

FC Aarau
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT

Yverdon Sport
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Aarau Form LLWDD
DOWN
Yverdon Sport Form DDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS33%
Under 2.545%
FC Aarau Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Yverdon Spo… Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
FC Aarau
vs
0.44
Yverdon Sport
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FC Aarau
+1
Gap
#3
Yverdon Spo…
WR 80% 48 pts WR 40% 36 pts
FC Aarau 8.0%
Feb 12 FC Aarau v Luzern … 3-1
Feb 05 FC Aarau v St. Gal… 1-3
Nov 06 FC Aarau v Yverdon… 1-0
Sep 10 FC Aarau v Yverdon… 1-1
Aug 28 FC Aarau v Luzern … 1-1
Feb 10 FC Aarau v FC Sion 4-2
Yverdon Sport 8.0%
Mar 04 Yverdon… v FC WIL … 2-2
Feb 12 Yverdon… v Neuchât… 0-0
Nov 26 Yverdon… v Neuchât… 2-1
Nov 06 Yverdon… v FC Aarau 1-0
Oct 16 Yverdon… v FC WIL … 3-0
Sep 17 Yverdon… v FC WIL … 3-0
Sep 10 Yverdon… v FC Aarau 1-1
Aug 21 Yverdon… v Neuchât… 1-1
Aug 07 Yverdon… v FC WIL … 3-0
May 01 Yverdon… v Rappers… 1-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Nov 06, 2021 FC Aarau 1-0 Yverdon Sport
Sep 10, 2021 Yverdon Sport 1-1 FC Aarau
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.