Primera DivisiĂłn · Jul 30, 2023 19:00
Aurora
PWR 46
Aurora
PWR 46
0 - 1
FT
Universitario de Vinto
PWR 35
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Aurora to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
0-0 (16%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAP
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (37.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense45
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
Attack39
Defense40
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.7
Aurora Form
WLLDD
STABLE
Universitario … Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS34%
Under 2.572%
Aurora Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Universitar… Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Auroravs
0.69
Universitario …Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Aurora+5
Gap#11
Universitar…
WR 39% 93 pts
WR 26% 66 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 66 | 26 | 15 | 25 | 99 | 104 | 93 |
| Universitario d… | 65 | 17 | 15 | 33 | 73 | 112 | 66 |
Aurora
8.0%
| Jul 16 | Aurora v Jorge W… | 1-0 |
| Jul 09 | Aurora v Always … | 3-1 |
| May 21 | Aurora v Blooming | 2-1 |
| May 07 | Aurora v The Str… | 2-2 |
| Mar 26 | Aurora v Jorge W… | 4-4 |
| Feb 26 | Aurora v Univers… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Aurora v The Str… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Aurora v Always … | 0-0 |
| Oct 20 | Aurora v Univers… | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | Aurora v The Str… | 0-0 |
Universitario …
6.0%
| Jul 24 | Univers… v Blooming | 1-0 |
| Jul 13 | Univers… v Blooming | 2-1 |
| Jul 09 | Univers… v The Str… | 1-3 |
| Apr 28 | Univers… v Oriente… | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Univers… v Aurora | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Univers… v Blooming | 3-4 |
| Feb 04 | Univers… v The Str… | 2-1 |
| Oct 20 | Univers… v Aurora | 0-2 |
| Oct 06 | Univers… v Blooming | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Univers… v Aurora | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 26, 2023 | Universitario… | 1-1 | Aurora |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Aurora | 0-2 | Universitario… |
| Aug 11, 2022 | Universitario… | 0-3 | Aurora |
Key Factors
Universitario de Vinto struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.