NM Cupen · Dec 06, 2025 15:00
Sarpsborg 08
PWR 40
Lillestrøm
PWR 76
PWR 76
3 - 1
FT
Sarpsborg 08
PWR 40
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Lillestrøm to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
HOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense59
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.2
Attack53
Defense30
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G2.0
Lillestrøm Form
WWWLW
UP
Sarpsborg 08 Form
WWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS32%
Under 2.540%
Lillestrøm Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.36
Lillestrømvs
0.41
Sarpsborg 08Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Lillestrøm+5
Gap#9
Sarpsborg 08
WR 83% 16 pts
WR 38% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| Sarpsborg 08 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
Lillestrøm
16.0%
| Nov 15 | Lillest… v Hønefos… | 1-3 |
| Nov 08 | Lillest… v Stabæk | 3-0 |
| Nov 07 | Lillest… v Lyn Wom… | 4-0 |
| Nov 02 | Lillest… v Våleren… | 2-0 |
| Nov 01 | Lillest… v Kongsvi… | 0-2 |
| Oct 25 | Lillest… v Rahimo | 2-1 |
| Oct 22 | Lillest… v ODD Bal… | 1-7 |
| Oct 19 | Lillest… v Røa | 2-3 |
| Oct 17 | Lillest… v Lyn | 5-1 |
| Oct 12 | Lillest… v Bodø / … | 1-0 |
Sarpsborg 08
12.0%
| Nov 30 | Sarpsbo… v Molde | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Sarpsbo… v Bryne | 0-3 |
| Nov 08 | Sarpsbo… v Fredrik… | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Sarpsbo… v Tromsø … | 4-0 |
| Oct 25 | Sarpsbo… v KFUM Os… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Sarpsbo… v Bodø/Gl… | 2-5 |
| Oct 05 | Sarpsbo… v Rosenbo… | 2-3 |
| Sep 27 | Sarpsbo… v Viking | 3-3 |
| Sep 21 | Sarpsbo… v Strømsg… | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Sarpsbo… v Sandefj… | 2-1 |
Key Factors
Lillestrøm in strong form (4W in last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.