AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Australian Championship Nov 29, 2025

Moreton City Excelsior

Home
VS
01:35

Marconi Stallions FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Moreton City Excelsior Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Marconi Stallions FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.51 - 1.13
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Moreton City Excelsior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Marconi Stallions FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Moreton City Excelsior Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Moreton C… vs Avondale 1-3
Nov 14 Moreton C… vs Shelbourne 3-3
Nov 08 Moreton C… vs Sydney Ol… 3-3
Nov 02 Moreton C… vs Broadmead… 5-1
Oct 26 Moreton C… vs Sydney Ol… 1-2
Oct 19 Moreton C… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Oct 12 Moreton C… vs Broadmead… 2-3
Marconi Stallions FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 21 Marconi S… vs Wests APIA 1-1
Nov 15 Marconi S… vs Wollongon… 5-0
Nov 09 Marconi S… vs South Hob… 0-2
Oct 31 Marconi S… vs Heidelber… 1-1
Oct 25 Marconi S… vs Wollongon… 3-0
Oct 18 Marconi S… vs South Hob… 4-0
Oct 12 Marconi S… vs Heidelber… 1-0
Aug 23 Marconi S… vs Wollongon… 1-1
May 10 Marconi S… vs Wollongon… 0-3
Sep 07 Marconi S… vs Rockdale … 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Moreton City Excelsior to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moreton City Excelsior Power 0
Marconi Stallions FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.