Campionato · Oct 03, 2023 19:15

Virtus
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

Libertas
PWR 35
65% H 21% D 14% A
Final Verdict
Virtus Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 11 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (11 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Virtus Form WWWWW
UP
Libertas Form DLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS37%
Under 2.553%
Virtus Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Libertas Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Virtus
vs
0.55
Libertas
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings85%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Virtus
+10
Gap
#11
Libertas
WR 78% 43 pts WR 20% 18 pts
Virtus 20.0%
Sep 22 Virtus v Pennaro… 1-0
Sep 16 Virtus v Tre Fio… 0-1
Sep 01 Virtus v Tre Pen… 0-2
May 27 Virtus v Tre Pen… 3-1
May 19 Virtus v Libertas 1-2
May 13 Virtus v La Fior… 2-1
May 03 Virtus v Folgore 1-1
Apr 29 Virtus v Folgore 1-1
Apr 23 Virtus v Pennaro… 1-3
Apr 06 Virtus v Folgore 2-0
Libertas 8.0%
Sep 27 Libertas v Juvenes… 1-1
Sep 23 Libertas v Murata 1-4
May 19 Libertas v Virtus 1-2
May 03 Libertas v Tre Fio… 1-1
Apr 29 Libertas v Tre Fio… 2-1
Apr 22 Libertas v San Gio… 1-3
Apr 15 Libertas v Murata 0-0
Apr 05 Libertas v Juvenes… 0-3
Apr 01 Libertas v Domagna… 3-0
Mar 17 Libertas v Tre Pen… 4-0
Head-to-Head (5)
May 19, 2023 Libertas 1-2 Virtus
Feb 12, 2023 Libertas 2-2 Virtus
Oct 01, 2022 Virtus 1-1 Libertas
Mar 05, 2022 Libertas 0-3 Virtus
Nov 21, 2021 Virtus 0-1 Libertas
Key Factors
Virtus in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.