AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League May 10, 2025

Mornar

Home
VS
15:30

Sutjeska

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Mornar Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Sutjeska Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.61 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mornar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Sutjeska Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Mornar Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 Mornar vs Buducnost… 3-0
Apr 12 Mornar vs Jezero 0-1
Mar 29 Mornar vs Bokelj 0-2
Mar 12 Mornar vs Sutjeska 1-1
Mar 08 Mornar vs Buducnost… 1-2
Feb 22 Mornar vs Jezero 1-2
Nov 27 Mornar vs Bokelj 3-0
Nov 23 Mornar vs Bokelj 1-1
Nov 02 Mornar vs Sutjeska 2-1
Oct 27 Mornar vs Buducnost… 0-1
Sutjeska Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Sutjeska vs Arsenal T… 1-1
Apr 06 Sutjeska vs Dečić 0-1
Apr 02 Sutjeska vs Jedinstvo 2-1
Mar 16 Sutjeska vs Otrant-Ol… 0-2
Mar 12 Sutjeska vs Mornar 1-1
Mar 02 Sutjeska vs Arsenal T… 2-0
Dec 07 Sutjeska vs Dečić 1-1
Dec 01 Sutjeska vs Jedinstvo 3-0
Nov 10 Sutjeska vs Otrant-Ol… 0-0
Nov 02 Sutjeska vs Mornar 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mornar struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2025 Sutjeska 1 - 1 Mornar First League
Nov 02, 2024 Mornar 2 - 1 Sutjeska First League
Aug 31, 2024 Sutjeska 1 - 1 Mornar First League
Apr 07, 2024 Sutjeska 2 - 0 Mornar First League
Feb 18, 2024 Mornar 1 - 0 Sutjeska First League
Oct 01, 2023 Sutjeska 0 - 1 Mornar First League
Jul 30, 2023 Mornar 1 - 1 Sutjeska First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mornar to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mornar Power 0
Sutjeska Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.