AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Apr 07, 2024

Sutjeska

Home
VS
13:00

Mornar

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Sutjeska Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Mornar Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.01 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sutjeska Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Mornar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Sutjeska Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Sutjeska vs Dečić 0-0
Feb 28 Sutjeska vs Jedinstvo 0-1
Feb 24 Sutjeska vs Arsenal T… 1-1
Feb 18 Sutjeska vs Mornar 1-0
Nov 26 Sutjeska vs Dečić 1-1
Oct 21 Sutjeska vs Jedinstvo 2-0
Oct 01 Sutjeska vs Mornar 0-1
Sep 17 Sutjeska vs Dečić 0-4
Aug 30 Sutjeska vs Dečić 1-0
Aug 13 Sutjeska vs Jedinstvo 0-0
Mornar Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Mornar vs Jezero 3-1
Mar 17 Mornar vs Buducnost… 1-0
Feb 18 Mornar vs Sutjeska 1-0
Dec 04 Mornar vs Jezero 2-1
Nov 26 Mornar vs Buducnost… 4-3
Nov 01 Mornar vs Buducnost… 2-2
Oct 01 Mornar vs Sutjeska 0-1
Sep 23 Mornar vs Jezero 0-1
Jul 30 Mornar vs Sutjeska 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mornar in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 18, 2024 Mornar 1 - 0 Sutjeska First League
Oct 01, 2023 Sutjeska 0 - 1 Mornar First League
Jul 30, 2023 Mornar 1 - 1 Sutjeska First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sutjeska to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sutjeska Power 0
Mornar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.