Challenge Cup · Apr 19, 2025 14:30
Santa Lucía
PWR 23
Zurrieq
PWR 83
PWR 83
2 - 0
FT
Santa Lucía
PWR 23
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Zurrieq Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
74%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-0 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 74% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense65
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense30
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Zurrieq Form
WLWWD
STABLE
Santa Lucía Form
DWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS64%
Under 2.538%
Zurrieq Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Santa Lucía Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Zurrieqvs
1.38
Santa LucíaDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Zurrieq+5
Gap#6
Santa Lucía
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zurrieq | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| Santa Lucía | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Zurrieq
14.0%
| Apr 05 | Zurrieq v Mgarr U… | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Zurrieq v Swieqi … | 3-1 |
| Feb 27 | Zurrieq v Swieqi … | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | Zurrieq v Santa L… | 3-6 |
| Feb 09 | Zurrieq v Mgarr U… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Zurrieq v Fgura U… | 0-3 |
| Jan 04 | Zurrieq v Santa L… | 2-0 |
| Dec 22 | Zurrieq v Sirens | 2-2 |
| Nov 24 | Zurrieq v Marsa | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Zurrieq v Zebbug … | 1-0 |
Santa Lucía
12.0%
| Apr 13 | Santa L… v Swieqi … | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | Santa L… v Marsa | 3-1 |
| Feb 27 | Santa L… v Zebbug … | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Santa L… v Zurrieq | 3-6 |
| Jan 04 | Santa L… v Zurrieq | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Santa L… v Zebbug … | 1-2 |
| Sep 21 | Santa L… v Swieqi … | 3-2 |
| Sep 15 | Santa L… v Marsa | 0-5 |
| Feb 10 | Santa L… v Balzan … | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Santa L… v Marsa | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 15, 2025 | Santa Lucía | 3-6 | Zurrieq |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Santa Lucía | 2-0 | Zurrieq |
Key Factors
Zurrieq in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.