League Two · Feb 11, 2026 20:00

Swindon Town
PWR 0
1-1
predicted

Newport County AFC
PWR 26
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Draw expected (72% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
72%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Swindon Town Form WWWLL
UP
Newport County… Form DLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS44%
Under 2.541%
Swindon Town Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Swindon Town
vs
0.59
Newport County…
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings95%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Swindon Town
+21
Gap
#23
Newport Cou…
WR 60% 55 pts WR 21% 20 pts
Swindon Town 12.0%
Feb 07 Swindon… v Oldham 3-0
Feb 03 Swindon… v Harroga… 0-1
Jan 31 Swindon… v Barrow 3-1
Jan 27 Swindon… v Notts C… 2-1
Jan 24 Swindon… v Bromley 2-1
Jan 17 Swindon… v Salford… 2-3
Jan 01 Swindon… v Gilling… 2-0
Dec 29 Swindon… v Chelten… 0-2
Dec 26 Swindon… v Milton … 1-0
Dec 20 Swindon… v Crawley… 1-0
Newport County… 6.0%
Feb 07 Newport… v Grimsby 0-0
Jan 31 Newport… v Bristol… 3-0
Jan 27 Newport… v Accring… 1-4
Jan 24 Newport… v Chester… 2-1
Jan 17 Newport… v Gilling… 3-2
Jan 01 Newport… v Bromley 2-1
Dec 29 Newport… v Crewe 2-0
Dec 26 Newport… v Barnet 0-0
Dec 20 Newport… v Colches… 4-1
Dec 13 Newport… v Fleetwo… 0-2
Key Factors
Swindon Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
Newport County AFC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.