AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Feb 03, 2026

Dordrecht

Home
VS
19:00

Helmond Sport

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Dordrecht Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Helmond Sport Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 56%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 44%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 4.50 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 8 places Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dordrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Dordrecht Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dordrecht vs Ijsselmee… 0-1
Jan 30 Dordrecht vs Vitesse 1-2
Jan 24 Dordrecht vs Quick Boys 1-3
Jan 23 Dordrecht vs Den Bosch 3-2
Jan 18 Dordrecht vs Waalwijk 1-1
Jan 17 Dordrecht vs HHC 4-1
Dec 19 Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo 3-1
Dec 13 Dordrecht vs Excelsior… 2-0
Dec 12 Dordrecht vs FC Eindho… 3-4
Dec 06 Dordrecht vs FC Volend… 2-1
Helmond Sport Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 0-0
Jan 26 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 4-0
Jan 16 Helmond S… vs Vitesse 2-2
Dec 21 Helmond S… vs Willem II 2-2
Dec 12 Helmond S… vs Emmen 4-1
Dec 05 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 2-4
Nov 28 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 0-0
Nov 24 Helmond S… vs Jong Ajax 2-1
Nov 21 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 3-1
Nov 08 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dordrecht in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2025 Helmond Sport 1 - 2 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Feb 08, 2025 Helmond Sport 0 - 1 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Nov 10, 2024 Dordrecht 4 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Jan 12, 2024 Dordrecht 2 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Oct 23, 2023 Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Jul 07, 2023 Helmond Sport 3 - 1 Dordrecht Friendlies Clu…
Mar 26, 2023 Dordrecht 0 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Sep 16, 2022 Helmond Sport 2 - 1 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Jan 07, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 2 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dordrecht to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dordrecht Power 0
Helmond Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Dordrecht Position

+8

Position Gap

17

Helmond Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.