AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Cup Jul 25, 2023

ST Johnstone

Home
VS
18:45

Ayr Utd

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
ST Johnstone Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Ayr Utd Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.64 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ST Johnstone Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
ST Johnstone Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 04 ST Johnst… vs Dunfermli… 1-1
Jul 23 ST Johnst… vs Ayr Utd 1-0
Jul 09 ST Johnst… vs Rangers FC 3-2
Aug 15 ST Johnst… vs Arbroath 2-2
Jul 21 ST Johnst… vs Arbroath 1-4
Dec 15 ST Johnst… vs Dunfermli… 1-1
Ayr Utd Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 08 Ayr Utd vs Stranraer 2-0
Mar 31 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 2-0
Jan 14 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 2-2
Oct 29 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 0-2
Jul 30 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 0-0
Jul 23 Ayr Utd vs ST Johnst… 1-0
Jun 25 Ayr Utd vs Stranraer 2-1
Aug 14 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Nov 14 Ayr Utd vs Stranraer 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • ST Johnstone in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 23, 2022 ST Johnstone 1 - 0 Ayr Utd League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: ST Johnstone to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ST Johnstone Power 0
Ayr Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.