League Cup · Jul 23, 2022 14:00
ST Johnstone
PWR 70
Ayr Utd
PWR 57
ST Johnstone
PWR 70
1 - 0
FT
Ayr Utd
PWR 57
48% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: ST Johnstone to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack77
Defense72
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack67
Defense62
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
ST Johnstone Form
WDWD
STABLE
Ayr Utd Form
WDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS53%
Under 2.545%
ST Johnstone Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Ayr Utd Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
ST Johnstonevs
0.93
Ayr UtdDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
ST Johnstone+6
Gap#13
Ayr Utd
WR 60% 20 pts
WR 40% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Johnstone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 20 |
| Ayr Utd | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 14 |
ST Johnstone
15.0%
| Jul 09 | ST John… v Rangers… | 3-2 |
| Aug 15 | ST John… v Arbroath | 2-2 |
| Jul 21 | ST John… v Arbroath | 1-4 |
| Dec 15 | ST John… v Dunferm… | 1-1 |
Ayr Utd
13.3%
| Jun 25 | Ayr Utd v Stranra… | 2-1 |
| Aug 14 | Ayr Utd v Dundee … | 1-1 |
| Nov 14 | Ayr Utd v Stranra… | 1-1 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.