AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Apr 06, 2024

Palermo

Home
VS
14:15

Sampdoria

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Palermo Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Sampdoria Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.61 - 1.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.5 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Palermo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Palermo Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Palermo vs Pisa 4-3
Mar 15 Palermo vs Venezia 0-3
Mar 10 Palermo vs Lecce 0-1
Mar 02 Palermo vs Brescia 4-2
Feb 27 Palermo vs Ternana 2-3
Feb 24 Palermo vs Cremonese 2-2
Feb 17 Palermo vs Como 3-0
Feb 10 Palermo vs FeralpiSa… 1-2
Feb 02 Palermo vs Bari 3-0
Feb 02 Palermo vs Bari 3-0
Sampdoria Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Sampdoria vs Ternana 4-1
Mar 30 Sampdoria vs Napoli Wo… 2-0
Mar 23 Sampdoria vs Como Women 1-0
Mar 16 Sampdoria vs Pomigliano 0-5
Mar 16 Sampdoria vs Bari 0-1
Mar 11 Sampdoria vs Ascoli 2-1
Mar 03 Sampdoria vs FeralpiSa… 1-3
Feb 27 Sampdoria vs Cremonese 1-2
Feb 23 Sampdoria vs Cosenza 1-2
Feb 17 Sampdoria vs Sassuolo … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sampdoria in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Palermo struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 04, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 0 Palermo Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Palermo to win (56% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 56% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Palermo Power 44
Sampdoria Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Palermo Position

+10

Position Gap

14

Sampdoria Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.