Erovnuli Liga 2 · Dec 15, 2025 12:00
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
0 - 1
FT
Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Lokomotiv Tbilisi to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense46
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Attack44
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Lokomotiv Tbil… Form
WWWLL
UP
Aragvi Dusheti Form
LLDLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS57%
Under 2.533%
Lokomotiv T… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Aragvi Dush… Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.40
Lokomotiv Tbil…vs
0.90
Aragvi DushetiDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Lokomotiv T…+10
Gap#13
Aragvi Dush…
WR 32% 79 pts
WR 25% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Tbili… | 62 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 89 | 96 | 79 |
| Aragvi Dusheti | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Lokomotiv Tbil…
12.0%
| Dec 11 | Lokomot… v Aragvi … | 2-3 |
| Dec 06 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 5-1 |
| Nov 29 | Lokomot… v Paris FC | 2-3 |
| Nov 25 | Lokomot… v Saburta… | 2-1 |
| Nov 21 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 3-4 |
| Nov 08 | Lokomot… v Rustavi | 5-1 |
| Nov 03 | Lokomot… v Samtred… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Lokomot… v Merani … | 1-1 |
| Oct 21 | Lokomot… v Meshakh… | 0-1 |
| Oct 17 | Lokomot… v Gonio | 2-1 |
Aragvi Dusheti
4.0%
| Dec 11 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 2-3 |
| Dec 16 | Aragvi … v Saburta… | 0-1 |
| Dec 12 | Aragvi … v Saburta… | 2-2 |
| Nov 30 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
| Sep 26 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Jul 31 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Dec 11, 2025 | Aragvi Dusheti | 2-3 | Lokomotiv Tbi… |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Lokomotiv Tbi… | 1-0 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti | 1-1 | Lokomotiv Tbi… |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Lokomotiv Tbi… | 2-1 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti | 3-1 | Lokomotiv Tbi… |
Key Factors
Lokomotiv Tbilisi in strong form (3W in last 5)
Aragvi Dusheti struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.