Erovnuli Liga 2 · Dec 11, 2025 09:00
Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
2 - 3
FT
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Attack50
Defense46
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Aragvi Dusheti Form
LDLDL
STABLE
Lokomotiv Tbil… Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS58%
Under 2.535%
Aragvi Dush… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Lokomotiv T… Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Aragvi Dushetivs
0.99
Lokomotiv Tbil…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Aragvi Dush…-10
Gap#3
Lokomotiv T…
WR 25% 8 pts
WR 32% 79 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragvi Dusheti | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| Lokomotiv Tbili… | 62 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 89 | 96 | 79 |
Aragvi Dusheti
4.0%
| Dec 16 | Aragvi … v Saburta… | 0-1 |
| Dec 12 | Aragvi … v Saburta… | 2-2 |
| Nov 30 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
| Sep 26 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Jul 31 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 3-1 |
Lokomotiv Tbil…
8.0%
| Dec 06 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 5-1 |
| Nov 29 | Lokomot… v Paris FC | 2-3 |
| Nov 25 | Lokomot… v Saburta… | 2-1 |
| Nov 21 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 3-4 |
| Nov 08 | Lokomot… v Rustavi | 5-1 |
| Nov 03 | Lokomot… v Samtred… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Lokomot… v Merani … | 1-1 |
| Oct 21 | Lokomot… v Meshakh… | 0-1 |
| Oct 17 | Lokomot… v Gonio | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 30, 2024 | Lokomotiv Tbi… | 1-0 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti | 1-1 | Lokomotiv Tbi… |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Lokomotiv Tbi… | 2-1 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti | 3-1 | Lokomotiv Tbi… |
Key Factors
Aragvi Dusheti struggling (3L in last 5)
Lokomotiv Tbilisi struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.