AI Match Insights

Primera División Dec 11, 2025

Municipal Liberia

Home
VS
02:00

LD Alajuelense

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Municipal Liberia Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
LD Alajuelense Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 37%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.33 - 1.23
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Municipal Liberia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (26%) 0-0 (21%) 0-2 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Municipal Liberia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Municipal… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Nov 30 Municipal… vs Deportivo… 3-1
Nov 22 Municipal… vs Guadalupe… 1-0
Nov 03 Municipal… vs LD Alajue… 1-4
Oct 26 Municipal… vs Sporting … 3-0
Oct 19 Municipal… vs CS Heredi… 1-0
Oct 15 Municipal… vs Puntarena… 0-0
Oct 02 Municipal… vs ADR Jicar… 0-1
Sep 30 Municipal… vs Perez Zel… 1-1
Sep 25 Municipal… vs ADR Jicar… 0-0
LD Alajuelense Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 LD Alajue… vs San Carlos 0-2
Nov 30 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 0-2
Nov 27 LD Alajue… vs Xelajú 1-1
Nov 23 LD Alajue… vs Sporting … 2-0
Nov 21 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Nov 03 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 1-4
Oct 31 LD Alajue… vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Oct 26 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 3-2
Oct 24 LD Alajue… vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Oct 20 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • LD Alajuelense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Municipal Liberia struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2025 Municipal Liberia 1 - 4 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Sep 14, 2025 LD Alajuelense 2 - 0 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
May 08, 2025 LD Alajuelense 2 - 0 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Jan 15, 2025 Municipal Liberia 1 - 3 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Oct 17, 2024 LD Alajuelense 2 - 2 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Jul 25, 2024 Municipal Liberia 1 - 2 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Mar 27, 2024 Municipal Liberia 0 - 4 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Jan 21, 2024 LD Alajuelense 0 - 0 Municipal Liberia Primera Divisi…
Oct 01, 2023 Municipal Liberia 3 - 3 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Municipal Liberia Power 0
LD Alajuelense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Municipal Liberia Position

-3

Position Gap

4

LD Alajuelense Position

Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.