League Two · Mar 11, 2025 19:45
Grimsby
PWR 38
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Grimsby
PWR 38
0 - 2
FT
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Grimsby to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Grimsby Form
WDDDD
STABLE
Newport County… Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS50%
Under 2.535%
Grimsby Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.56
Grimsbyvs
0.73
Newport County…Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings73%
Market50%
League Standings
#12
Grimsby+11
Gap#23
Newport Cou…
WR 43% 45 pts
WR 21% 21 pts
Grimsby
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Grimsby v Walsall | 1-3 |
| Mar 04 | Grimsby v Tranmer… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Grimsby v Tranmer… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Grimsby v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Grimsby v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Grimsby v Fleetwo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Grimsby v Fleetwo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Grimsby v Doncast… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Grimsby v Carlisle | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Grimsby v Burnley | 0-2 |
Newport County…
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Newport… v Chester… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Newport… v AFC Wim… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Newport… v Chester… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Newport… v Birming… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Newport… v Birming… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Newport… v Barrow | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Doncast… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Newport… v Chelsea | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 16, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-0 | Grimsby |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-0 | Grimsby |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Grimsby | 5-5 | Newport Count… |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Grimsby |
Key Factors
Newport County AFC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.