Predictions Match Details
League Two · Aug 22, 2024 19:00

Newport County AFC
PWR 26
4 - 1
FT

Grimsby
PWR 38
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 37%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Newport County… Form DDWLD
STABLE
Grimsby Form WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS18%
Under 2.542%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Grimsby Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.99
Newport County…
vs
0.20
Grimsby
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings30%
Market50%
League Standings
#23
Newport Cou…
-11
Gap
#12
Grimsby
WR 13% 21 pts WR 40% 45 pts
Newport County… 10.0%
Aug 18 Newport… v Fleetwo… 2-2
Aug 18 Newport… v Fleetwo… 2-2
Aug 17 Newport… v Doncast… 3-1
Aug 10 Newport… v Chelsea 3-2
Aug 10 Newport… v Tranmer… 0-0
Jul 20 Newport… v Llandud… 3-0
Apr 27 Newport… v Brentfo… 4-1
Apr 27 Newport… v Forest … 1-0
Apr 27 Newport… v Forest … 1-0
Apr 27 Newport… v Brentfo… 4-1
Grimsby 8.0%
Aug 17 Grimsby v Chelsea 3-2
Aug 17 Grimsby v Chelsea 3-2
Aug 10 Grimsby v Fleetwo… 1-0
Aug 10 Grimsby v Fleetwo… 1-0
Apr 27 Grimsby v Crawley… 2-0
Apr 27 Grimsby v Crawley… 2-0
Apr 20 Grimsby v Swindon 2-0
Apr 20 Grimsby v Swindon 2-0
Apr 16 Grimsby v Manches… 2-0
Apr 16 Grimsby v Manches… 2-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1-0 Newport Count…
Apr 06, 2024 Grimsby 1-0 Newport Count…
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5-5 Newport Count…
Jan 13, 2024 Grimsby 5-5 Newport Count…
Dec 16, 2023 Newport Count… 1-1 Grimsby
Dec 16, 2023 Newport Count… 1-1 Grimsby
Aug 12, 2023 Newport Count… 3-2 Grimsby
Mar 07, 2023 Grimsby 1-1 Newport Count…
Sep 03, 2022 Newport Count… 0-2 Grimsby
May 23, 2022 Newport Count… 1-2 Grimsby
Key Factors
Grimsby struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.