AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Nov 30, 2024

Musanze

Home
VS
13:00

Etincelles

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Musanze Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Etincelles Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.90 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.4 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Musanze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%) 1-0 (25%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Musanze Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 1-1
Nov 06 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-1
Apr 21 Musanze vs Gorilla 1-0
Apr 03 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 2-1
Feb 23 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-1
Feb 17 Musanze vs Etincelles 1-1
Feb 04 Musanze vs APR 1-3
Dec 02 Musanze vs Gorilla 0-1
Nov 26 Musanze vs Gasogi Un… 2-0
Oct 15 Musanze vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-0
Etincelles Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-1
Oct 19 Etincelles vs Amagaju 2-3
Sep 29 Etincelles vs APR 0-0
Sep 18 Etincelles vs Police 0-0
Aug 24 Etincelles vs Mukura 0-0
May 03 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-3
Apr 27 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 1-0
Mar 08 Etincelles vs Mukura 3-1
Mar 02 Etincelles vs APR 1-0
Feb 17 Etincelles vs Musanze 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2024 Musanze 1 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Oct 10, 2023 Etincelles 0 - 3 Musanze National Socce…
Feb 05, 2023 Musanze 0 - 0 Etincelles National Socce…
Nov 12, 2022 Etincelles 3 - 2 Musanze National Socce…
May 07, 2022 Etincelles 1 - 0 Musanze National Socce…
Dec 28, 2021 Musanze 1 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3 - 1 Musanze National Socce…
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Musanze to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Musanze Power 0
Etincelles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Musanze Position

+11

Position Gap

18

Etincelles Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.