Predictions Match Details
National Soccer League · Feb 17, 2024 13:00

Musanze
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Etincelles
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Musanze to win (77% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
77%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (21%) 1-0 (21%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Musanze Form LLLWW
DOWN
Etincelles Form DLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS27%
Under 2.580%
Musanze Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Etincelles Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Musanze
vs
0.55
Etincelles
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings76%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Musanze
+8
Gap
#16
Etincelles
WR 50% 28 pts WR 11% 14 pts
Musanze 8.0%
Feb 04 Musanze v APR 1-3
Dec 02 Musanze v Gorilla 0-1
Nov 26 Musanze v Gasogi … 2-0
Oct 15 Musanze v Kiyovu … 1-0
Oct 10 Musanze v Etincel… 0-3
Oct 06 Musanze v APR 2-1
Mar 12 Musanze v Gorilla 1-0
Mar 05 Musanze v Gasogi … 1-2
Feb 26 Musanze v APR 0-3
Feb 05 Musanze v Etincel… 0-0
Etincelles 6.0%
Feb 04 Etincel… v Police 1-1
Jan 20 Etincel… v Amagaju 0-1
Dec 09 Etincel… v Kiyovu … 2-1
Dec 06 Etincel… v AS Kiga… 4-2
Oct 28 Etincel… v Mukura 1-0
Oct 22 Etincel… v APR 0-3
Oct 10 Etincel… v Musanze 0-3
Sep 17 Etincel… v Police 1-0
Aug 28 Etincel… v Amagaju 2-0
May 06 Etincel… v Mukura 3-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Oct 10, 2023 Etincelles 0-3 Musanze
Feb 05, 2023 Musanze 0-0 Etincelles
Nov 12, 2022 Etincelles 3-2 Musanze
May 07, 2022 Etincelles 1-0 Musanze
Dec 28, 2021 Musanze 1-1 Etincelles
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3-1 Musanze
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3-1 Etincelles
Key Factors
Musanze struggling (3L in last 5)
Etincelles struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.