National Soccer League · Oct 10, 2023 13:00

Etincelles
PWR 35
0 - 3
FT

Musanze
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Etincelles Form WLLWL
STABLE
Musanze Form LWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS74%
Under 2.527%
Etincelles Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Musanze Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.32
Etincelles
vs
1.48
Musanze
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings34%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Etincelles
-8
Gap
#8
Musanze
WR 10% 14 pts WR 33% 28 pts
Etincelles 8.0%
Sep 17 Etincel… v Police 1-0
Aug 28 Etincel… v Amagaju 2-0
May 06 Etincel… v Mukura 3-1
Apr 29 Etincel… v Police 1-0
Mar 12 Etincel… v Kiyovu … 1-2
Feb 24 Etincel… v AS Kiga… 2-2
Feb 19 Etincel… v APR 4-2
Feb 05 Etincel… v Musanze 0-0
Dec 22 Etincel… v APR 1-1
Nov 12 Etincel… v Musanze 3-2
Musanze 10.0%
Oct 06 Musanze v APR 2-1
Mar 12 Musanze v Gorilla 1-0
Mar 05 Musanze v Gasogi … 1-2
Feb 26 Musanze v APR 0-3
Feb 05 Musanze v Etincel… 0-0
Jan 24 Musanze v Kiyovu … 4-1
Dec 11 Musanze v Gasogi … 0-1
Nov 27 Musanze v Kiyovu … 2-0
Nov 12 Musanze v Etincel… 3-2
Oct 12 Musanze v Gorilla 0-2
Head-to-Head (6)
Feb 05, 2023 Musanze 0-0 Etincelles
Nov 12, 2022 Etincelles 3-2 Musanze
May 07, 2022 Etincelles 1-0 Musanze
Dec 28, 2021 Musanze 1-1 Etincelles
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3-1 Musanze
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3-1 Etincelles
Key Factors
Etincelles struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.