National Soccer League · May 07, 2022 13:00
Etincelles
PWR 35
Musanze
PWR 35
Etincelles
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Musanze
PWR 35
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (29%)
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Etincelles Form
WDLLL
STABLE
Musanze Form
WLWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.513%
BTTS17%
Under 2.587%
Etincelles Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Musanze Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Etincellesvs
0.35
MusanzeDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings34%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Etincelles-8
Gap#8
Musanze
WR 10% 14 pts
WR 33% 28 pts
Etincelles
6.0%
| Apr 23 | Etincel… v Police | 1-0 |
| Apr 17 | Etincel… v AS Kiga… | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | Etincel… v Kiyovu … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Etincel… v APR | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Etincel… v Mukura | 1-0 |
| Dec 28 | Etincel… v Musanze | 1-1 |
| Dec 19 | Etincel… v Police | 3-0 |
| Dec 12 | Etincel… v AS Kiga… | 1-1 |
| Dec 09 | Etincel… v APR | 0-0 |
| Dec 01 | Etincel… v Kiyovu … | 0-2 |
Musanze
14.0%
| Apr 23 | Musanze v Gicumbi | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Musanze v Gorilla | 3-2 |
| Feb 16 | Musanze v APR | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Musanze v Gasogi … | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | Musanze v Kiyovu … | 0-0 |
| Dec 28 | Musanze v Etincel… | 1-1 |
| Dec 19 | Musanze v Gicumbi | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Musanze v Gorilla | 2-1 |
| Nov 03 | Musanze v APR | 2-0 |
| Jun 28 | Musanze v Etincel… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 28, 2021 | Musanze | 1-1 | Etincelles |
| Jun 28, 2021 | Etincelles | 3-1 | Musanze |
| May 13, 2021 | Musanze | 3-1 | Etincelles |
Key Factors
Musanze in strong form (3W in last 5)
Etincelles struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.