National Soccer League · Dec 28, 2021 13:00

Musanze
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Etincelles
PWR 35
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Musanze to win (82% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
82%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Musanze Form DWLLW
STABLE
Etincelles Form LDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS18%
Under 2.545%
Musanze Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Etincelles Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Musanze
vs
0.20
Etincelles
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings76%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Musanze
+8
Gap
#16
Etincelles
WR 50% 28 pts WR 11% 14 pts
Musanze 10.0%
Dec 19 Musanze v Gicumbi 0-0
Nov 30 Musanze v Gorilla 2-1
Nov 03 Musanze v APR 2-0
Jun 28 Musanze v Etincel… 3-1
Jun 17 Musanze v Gorilla 2-0
May 27 Musanze v Muhanga 3-1
May 23 Musanze v Gasogi … 4-1
May 13 Musanze v Etincel… 3-1
Dec 07 Musanze v Muhanga 2-1
Etincelles 8.0%
Dec 19 Etincel… v Police 3-0
Dec 12 Etincel… v AS Kiga… 1-1
Dec 09 Etincel… v APR 0-0
Dec 01 Etincel… v Kiyovu … 0-2
Jun 28 Etincel… v Musanze 3-1
Jun 25 Etincel… v Kiyovu … 1-0
Jun 10 Etincel… v Mukura 1-0
May 16 Etincel… v Police 1-1
May 13 Etincel… v Musanze 3-1
May 10 Etincel… v AS Kiga… 2-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Jun 28, 2021 Etincelles 3-1 Musanze
May 13, 2021 Musanze 3-1 Etincelles
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.