AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Jul 28, 2024

FC Zurich

Home
VS
14:30

FC Winterthur

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
FC Zurich Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
FC Winterthur Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.38 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Zurich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
FC Winterthur Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
FC Zurich Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 FC Zurich vs FC Thun 0-0
May 25 FC Zurich vs FC St. Ga… 1-2
May 20 FC Zurich vs FC Lugano 2-1
May 15 FC Zurich vs Servette … 2-1
May 12 FC Zurich vs FC Winter… 1-3
May 05 FC Zurich vs BSC Young… 0-2
Apr 21 FC Zurich vs FC St. Ga… 0-1
Apr 13 FC Zurich vs Lausanne 1-0
Apr 06 FC Zurich vs Servette … 0-1
Apr 03 FC Zurich vs FC Winter… 0-0
FC Winterthur Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 20 FC Winter… vs FC St. Ga… 1-0
May 25 FC Winter… vs BSC Young… 3-0
May 20 FC Winter… vs FC St. Ga… 1-3
May 16 FC Winter… vs FC Lugano 4-2
May 12 FC Winter… vs FC Zurich 1-3
May 04 FC Winter… vs Servette … 2-1
Apr 28 FC Winter… vs Servette … 0-1
Apr 21 FC Winter… vs BSC Young… 1-2
Apr 14 FC Winter… vs Stade Lau… 0-1
Apr 06 FC Winter… vs FC Lugano 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Zurich in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FC Winterthur struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 12, 2024 FC Winterthur 1 - 3 FC Zurich Super League
Apr 03, 2024 FC Zurich 0 - 0 FC Winterthur Super League
Feb 28, 2024 FC Zurich 0 - 2 FC Winterthur Schweizer Pokal
Dec 13, 2023 FC Winterthur 2 - 1 FC Zurich Super League
Oct 07, 2023 FC Zurich 3 - 2 FC Winterthur Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Zurich Power 0
FC Winterthur Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

FC Zurich Position

+3

Position Gap

12

FC Winterthur Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.