Sapling Cup · Nov 16, 2024 07:00
Kitchee
PWR 41
North District
PWR 48
PWR 48
1 - 1
FT
Kitchee
PWR 41
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: North District to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
0-2 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
1-3 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense45
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.6
Attack47
Defense42
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
North District Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Kitchee Form
WLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS61%
Under 2.539%
North Distr… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Kitchee Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
North Districtvs
2.04
KitcheeDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
North Distr…+3
Gap#5
Kitchee
WR 43% 11 pts
WR 33% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North District | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Kitchee | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
North District
4.0%
| Nov 10 | North D… v Eastern | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | North D… v Warriors | 5-1 |
| Oct 20 | North D… v Kowloon… | 2-1 |
| Oct 20 | North D… v Warriors | 4-1 |
| Oct 12 | North D… v Kowloon… | 4-0 |
| Sep 29 | North D… v Wofoo T… | 0-3 |
| Sep 28 | North D… v Eastern | 0-2 |
| Sep 15 | North D… v Kowloon… | 2-3 |
| Sep 14 | North D… v Kitchee | 1-1 |
| Sep 12 | North D… v Eastern | 5-1 |
Kitchee
12.0%
| Oct 26 | Kitchee v Wofoo T… | 3-1 |
| Oct 19 | Kitchee v Wofoo T… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Kitchee v Hong Ko… | 4-0 |
| Sep 14 | Kitchee v North D… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Kitchee v North D… | 2-2 |
| May 18 | Kitchee v North D… | 0-3 |
| Apr 20 | Kitchee v Wofoo T… | 0-0 |
| Apr 14 | Kitchee v North D… | 4-0 |
| Mar 09 | Kitchee v Hong Ko… | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Kitchee v Hong Ko… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 14, 2024 | Kitchee | 1-1 | North District |
| Aug 31, 2024 | North District | 2-2 | Kitchee |
| May 18, 2024 | North District | 0-3 | Kitchee |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Kitchee | 4-0 | North District |
| Dec 03, 2023 | North District | 2-3 | Kitchee |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Kitchee | 0-0 | North District |
| Apr 15, 2023 | North District | 0-5 | Kitchee |
| Oct 22, 2022 | North District | 1-4 | Kitchee |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Kitchee | 7-0 | North District |
Key Factors
North District struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.