Bundesliga · Jan 10, 2026 17:30

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
1 - 4
FT

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Bayer Leverkus… Form WWDLW
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart Form WDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS76%
Under 2.526%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Bayer Leverkus…
vs
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings48%
Market49%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Bayer Lever…
-1
Gap
#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 60% 36 pts WR 46% 39 pts
Bayer Leverkus… 14.0%
Dec 20 Bayer L… v RB Leip… 1-3
Dec 13 Bayer L… v FC Koln 2-0
Dec 10 Bayer L… v Newcast… 2-2
Dec 06 Bayer L… v FC Augs… 2-0
Dec 02 Bayer L… v Borussi… 0-1
Nov 29 Bayer L… v Borussi… 1-2
Nov 25 Bayer L… v Manches… 0-2
Nov 22 Bayer L… v VfL Wol… 1-3
Nov 08 Bayer L… v FC Heid… 6-0
Nov 05 Bayer L… v Benfica 0-1
VfB Stuttgart 16.0%
Jan 05 VfB Stu… v FC Luze… 3-2
Dec 21 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 2-2
Dec 20 VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… 0-0
Dec 14 VfB Stu… v SC Sand… 2-0
Dec 14 VfB Stu… v Werder … 0-4
Dec 11 VfB Stu… v Maccabi… 4-1
Dec 07 VfB Stu… v Wolfsbu… 1-9
Dec 06 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 0-5
Dec 03 VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… 0-2
Nov 30 VfB Stu… v Hamburg… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Mar 16, 2025 VfB Stuttgart 3-4 Bayer Leverku…
Nov 01, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 0-0 VfB Stuttgart
Nov 01, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 0-0 VfB Stuttgart
Aug 17, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
Apr 27, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
Apr 27, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
Feb 06, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 3-2 VfB Stuttgart
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer Leverku…
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer Leverku…
May 14, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer Leverku…
Key Factors
Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5)
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.