Bundesliga · Jan 10, 2026 17:30

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
1 - 4
FT

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Bayer Leverkus… Form
WWDLW
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart Form
WDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS76%
Under 2.526%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Bayer Leverkus…vs
1.91
VfB StuttgartDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings48%
Market49%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Bayer Lever…-1
Gap#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 60% 36 pts
WR 46% 39 pts
Bayer Leverkus…
14.0%
| Dec 20 | Bayer L… v RB Leip… | 1-3 |
| Dec 13 | Bayer L… v FC Koln | 2-0 |
| Dec 10 | Bayer L… v Newcast… | 2-2 |
| Dec 06 | Bayer L… v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Bayer L… v Borussi… | 0-1 |
| Nov 29 | Bayer L… v Borussi… | 1-2 |
| Nov 25 | Bayer L… v Manches… | 0-2 |
| Nov 22 | Bayer L… v VfL Wol… | 1-3 |
| Nov 08 | Bayer L… v FC Heid… | 6-0 |
| Nov 05 | Bayer L… v Benfica | 0-1 |
VfB Stuttgart
16.0%
| Jan 05 | VfB Stu… v FC Luze… | 3-2 |
| Dec 21 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 2-2 |
| Dec 20 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | VfB Stu… v SC Sand… | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | VfB Stu… v Werder … | 0-4 |
| Dec 11 | VfB Stu… v Maccabi… | 4-1 |
| Dec 07 | VfB Stu… v Wolfsbu… | 1-9 |
| Dec 06 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 0-5 |
| Dec 03 | VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | VfB Stu… v Hamburg… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 16, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart | 3-4 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 0-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 0-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 06, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 3-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Dec 10, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Dec 10, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| May 14, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
Key Factors
Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5)
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.