AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Apr 21, 2024

Manchester United Women

Home
VS
11:00

Tottenham Hotspur Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Manchester United Women Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Tottenham Hotspur Women Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.57 - 1.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.8
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Tottenham Hotspur Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Manchester United Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 3-1
Mar 03 Mancheste… vs West Ham … 1-1
Feb 17 Mancheste… vs Arsenal W… 3-1
Jan 28 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 2-1
Jan 24 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Dec 17 Mancheste… vs Liverpool… 1-2
Dec 14 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 3-1
Dec 10 Mancheste… vs Tottenham… 0-4
Nov 22 Mancheste… vs Liverpool… 0-1
Nov 19 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 1-3
Tottenham Hotspur Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 14 Tottenham… vs Leicester… 2-1
Mar 17 Tottenham… vs Leicester… 1-0
Mar 03 Tottenham… vs Arsenal W… 1-0
Feb 18 Tottenham… vs Aston Vil… 1-2
Feb 04 Tottenham… vs Liverpool… 1-1
Jan 21 Tottenham… vs West Ham … 3-4
Dec 16 Tottenham… vs Arsenal W… 1-0
Dec 13 Tottenham… vs Arsenal W… 3-3
Dec 10 Tottenham… vs Mancheste… 0-4
Nov 19 Tottenham… vs Leicester… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester United Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 10, 2023 Tottenham Hotspur W… 0 - 4 Manchester United W… FA WSL
May 07, 2023 Manchester United W… 3 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur W… FA WSL
Feb 12, 2023 Tottenham Hotspur W… 1 - 2 Manchester United W… FA WSL
Jan 23, 2022 Manchester United W… 3 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur W… FA WSL
Nov 07, 2021 Tottenham Hotspur W… 1 - 1 Manchester United W… FA WSL
Apr 25, 2021 Manchester United W… 4 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur W… FA WSL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester United Women Power 47
Tottenham Hotspur Women Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Manchester United Women Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Tottenham Hotspur Women Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.