AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Division di Honor Apr 02, 2023

RCA

Home
VS
00:30

River Plate

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
RCA Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
River Plate Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 3.95 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
RCA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
RCA Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 RCA vs Estrella 2-3
Feb 26 RCA vs Nacional 1-1
Oct 15 RCA vs River Pla… 4-0
Oct 02 RCA vs Nacional 1-2
Sep 26 RCA vs Estrella 2-2
Apr 09 RCA vs River Pla… 4-0
Apr 03 RCA vs Estrella 1-11
Dec 04 RCA vs River Pla… 1-1
River Plate Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 River Pla… vs Estrella 2-2
Oct 15 River Pla… vs RCA 4-0
Sep 12 River Pla… vs La Fama 4-0
Apr 25 River Pla… vs La Fama 2-3
Apr 09 River Pla… vs RCA 4-0
Mar 20 River Pla… vs Estrella 1-4
Feb 12 River Pla… vs Bubali 5-1
Dec 12 River Pla… vs La Fama 1-0
Dec 04 River Pla… vs RCA 1-1
Nov 22 River Pla… vs Estrella 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • River Plate struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 15, 2022 RCA 4 - 0 River Plate Division di Ho…
Apr 09, 2022 RCA 4 - 0 River Plate Division di Ho…
Dec 04, 2021 River Plate 1 - 1 RCA Division di Ho…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: RCA to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RCA Power 0
River Plate Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

RCA Position

+5

Position Gap

8

River Plate Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.